Sense → Explore → Rehearse → Decide → Act → Adapt

Decide under uncertainty, before the future decides for you.

The Anticipatory Decision System turns strategic foresight into decisions organizations can defend — and keeps watching the assumptions behind them long after the workshop ends.

Anticipatory Decision System — Signals & Drivers

01 · Sense

Signals & Drivers

STEEPLE horizon scan — impact × uncertainty

AI assist
Social

Guests booking 3 days out

Weak signalHigh impact

Staff prefer hybrid rosters

TrendHigh impact
+ Add signal
Technological

Agentic travel booking

DriverHigh impact

Dynamic pricing commoditised

TrendHigh impact
+ Add signal
Economic

Corporate travel budgets flat

TrendHigh impact
+ Add signal
Environmental

Carbon reporting mandatory

DriverHigh impact
+ Add signal

Foresight that ends in a decision

Not a scenario deck. A rehearsed decision with an explicit reasoning chain.

Decisions that survive the future

Wind-tunnel every option across four plausible worlds before you commit.

Strategy that stays alive

Assumptions, signals and triggers monitored continuously after the workshop.

Free — 10 minutes

How anticipatory is your organization today?

Take the Anticipatory Capability Assessment to benchmark how well your organization senses change, explores alternative futures and turns that into better decisions.

Assess your anticipatory capability

The anticipatory loop

Six steps, one continuous system.

01
Sense

Scan signals, weak signals and drivers of change.

02
Explore

Build alternative futures from critical uncertainties.

03
Rehearse

Wind-tunnel a decision across every future.

04
Decide

Shape options on impact × feasibility.

05
Act

Prioritise into a now / next / later roadmap.

06
Adapt

Track assumptions and know when to revisit.

How it works in practice

From a weak signal to a decision your leadership can defend.

Signals & Drivers — horizon scanning

01 · Sense

Signals & Drivers

STEEPLE horizon scan — impact × uncertainty

AI assist
Social

Guests booking 3 days out

Weak signalHigh impact

Staff prefer hybrid rosters

TrendHigh impact
+ Add signal
Technological

Agentic travel booking

DriverHigh impact

Dynamic pricing commoditised

TrendHigh impact
+ Add signal
Economic

Corporate travel budgets flat

TrendHigh impact
+ Add signal
Environmental

Carbon reporting mandatory

DriverHigh impact
+ Add signal
Weak signals and drivers mapped across STEEPLE, scored on impact × uncertainty.
Alternative Futures — scenario matrix

02 · Explore

Alternative Futures

2×2 scenario matrix built from critical uncertainties

AI assist
Scenario 12035
Concierge Machines

AI-mediated demand × high regulation

Make more extremeChallenge
Scenario 22035
Human Premium

Human-led demand × high regulation

Make more extremeChallenge
Scenario 32035
Frictionless Drift

AI-mediated demand × light regulation

Make more extremeChallenge
Scenario 42035
Slow Return

Human-led demand × light regulation

Make more extremeChallenge

Axis A: Demand mediation · Axis B: Regulatory intensity

Four plausible worlds built from the two uncertainties that matter most.
Decision Rehearsal — wind tunnelling

03 · Rehearse

Decision Rehearsal

Wind-tunnel one decision across every future

AI assist
Decision under test

Commit €12M to a direct-booking platform rebuild before regulation lands.

Concierge Machines

Holds — margin compresses but demand routes to us

4/5
Human Premium

Strong — service investment becomes the differentiator

5/5
Frictionless Drift

Fragile — brand loyalty assumption fails

2/5
Slow Return

Workable — slower payback, no structural break

3/5
Resilience score3.5 / 5
One decision, tested against every future, with a resilience score.
Executive Anticipation Board

Executive

Executive Anticipation Board

Value in play, cost of delay, where attention is needed

AI assist
Value in play
€48M

across 7 decisions

Cost of delay
€1.9M

per quarter

Attention score
72

3 items critical

Portfolio · value × uncertainty
Low uncertaintyHigh uncertainty
Value in play, cost of delay and where leadership attention is needed.

Inside the platform

A workspace for the whole decision, not one workshop.

Organization workspaces, a decision log with reasoning chains, critical assumptions with evidence, a signal tracker, action triggers and an executive board that shows value in play and cost of delay.

Track & Adapt — decision intelligence

06 · Adapt

Decision Intelligence & Tracking

Are the assumptions behind the decision still true?

AI assist
Decisions live
7
Assumptions watched
23
Triggers fired
2
Loyalty base stays direct-bookingWeakening
Regulation lands before Q4 2027Holding
Labour costs stay below 34% of revenueBroken
Recommendation

Reconsider — two of three critical assumptions are no longer holding.

Decision log, critical assumptions, signal tracker and action triggers — after the workshop.

What would have to be true for your strategy to fail?

If you cannot answer that yet, that is exactly where we start.